2014 Midterm Outlook For House Republicans

Thursday, April 24, 2014 Bloomberg's Business Week- Politics & Policy..
     "John Boehner Says So Long to His Friends""So far, 25 GOP House members have said they’re leaving at year’s end. Like Boehner, many are party-line Republicans who argue Democratic policies are wrongheaded but are frustrated with the obstinacy of Tea Partiers who attack fellow Republicans and equate the give and take of legislating with betrayal."
COMMENTARY
Democrats can take this as either bad or good news. I tend to think most voters politics are somewhere in the middle. Voters favor neither extreme views to the left nor to the right. If what remains of future candidates seeking office are those too far to right this is not a good sign for the GOP.

Couple that with what 'The Washington Post' is reporting-- "The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee raised $8.1 million in March, while the National Republican Senatorial Committee raised about $6.3 million."

This pretty much reflects campaign contributions going towards candidates running for the house as well. According to "Christian Science Monitor' (04/21/2014), "The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee raised more money than its GOP counterpart in the first quarter of 2014. The DCCC, which focuses on funding for House candidates, pulled in $23.6 million from January through March, while the National Republican Congressional Committee took in $21.2 million, according to Federal Election Commission records. That leaves the DCCC with a cash-on-hand pile of about $40 million, clear of debt. The NRCC has about $31 million ready for use in its bank accounts."

Given that 25 GOP seats will be opening up and with the Democrats having a bit more loot, 2014 doesn't look like a banner year for Republicans. Republican hopes for overtaking both sides of congress for the moment doesn't look too peachy. Things can change. Elections are still seven months away. However having 25 GOP moderates leaving the house doesn't exactly inspire confidence that voters will tip the balance in favor of conservatives come the fall elections.

This doesn't necessarily mean Democrats may end up controlling Congress. But if I were a bookie in Vegas, handicapping the score, the odds aren't in the Republicans favor right now (at least in the house).

BTW:There are 15 Republican and 21 seats currently held by Democrats coming up for vote in fall for the Senate. About 16 of them could be up for grabs. The others most likely will remain with their respective parties.